Réginald Surin
Economist, Analyst
In December 2024, 843 people were killed in violence in Haiti. In a single month. When we hear such a figure, we think of chaos—of something incomprehensible, something that can only be endured. This article says the opposite. By analyzing eight years of data, month by month, I discovered that Haitian violence follows rules. Rules that can be calculated, and that completely change the way we should talk about it.
We can know how long a shock will last. We can know how
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